6.3
Immobility Bears Risks
Climate impacts will deter people from migrating as economic conditions in potential destinations worsen. Almost 6 million people in the region could be immobile as a result.
6.3
Immobility Bears Risks
Climate impacts will deter people from migrating as economic conditions in potential destinations worsen. Almost 6 million people in the region could be immobile as a result.
6.3
Immobility Bears Risks
Climate impacts will deter people from migrating as economic conditions in potential destinations worsen. Almost 6 million people in the region could be immobile as a result.
Although some places will fare better than others in the face of climate change, no place will be untouched.
Although some places will fare better than others in the face of climate change, no place will be untouched.
Although some places will fare better than others in the face of climate change, no place will be untouched.
Climate impacts on businesses and job opportunities in destination communities will make migrating there less attractive and deter people from leaving their homes.
Climate impacts on businesses and job opportunities in destination communities will make migrating there less attractive and deter people from leaving their homes.
Climate impacts on businesses and job opportunities in destination communities will make migrating there less attractive and deter people from leaving their homes.
This deterrence effect will be particularly strong at the national level, as people determine that wages in neighboring towns or cities are no longer high enough to outweigh migration costs. For disadvantaged groups, upfront migration costs are often higher when compared to what they can expect to earn in destination communities. Consequently, they are more likely to become immobile.
This deterrence effect will be particularly strong at the national level, as people determine that wages in neighboring towns or cities are no longer high enough to outweigh migration costs. For disadvantaged groups, upfront migration costs are often higher when compared to what they can expect to earn in destination communities. Consequently, they are more likely to become immobile.
This deterrence effect will be particularly strong at the national level, as people determine that wages in neighboring towns or cities are no longer high enough to outweigh migration costs. For disadvantaged groups, upfront migration costs are often higher when compared to what they can expect to earn in destination communities. Consequently, they are more likely to become immobile.
Figure 1
As climate change hampers economic opportunity in potential destinations, immobility will increase.
Immobility (in millions) at the local, national, and international level for different climate scenarios by 2050.
RCP2.6
RCP4.5
RCP7.0
Source: GCCMI Greater Caribbean Climate Mobility Model, 2024.
Figure 1
As climate change hampers economic opportunity in potential destinations, immobility will increase.
Immobility (in millions) at the local, national, and international level for different climate scenarios by 2050.
RCP2.6
RCP4.5
RCP7.0
Source: GCCMI Greater Caribbean Climate Mobility Model, 2024.
Figure 1
As climate change hampers economic opportunity in potential destinations, immobility will increase.
Immobility (in millions) at the local, national, and international level for different climate scenarios by 2050.
RCP2.6
RCP4.5
RCP7.0
Source: GCCMI Greater Caribbean Climate Mobility Model, 2024.
Populations that stay in place could be left behind in other ways, facing deepening poverty and deteriorating adaptation prospects.
Populations that stay in place could be left behind in other ways, facing deepening poverty and deteriorating adaptation prospects.
Populations that stay in place could be left behind in other ways, facing deepening poverty and deteriorating adaptation prospects.
By 2050, young people (ages 20-39) will migrate at higher rates than those over 40 in all Greater Caribbean countries. The largest differences in out-migration rates between the young and older age groups are projected to occur in Guyana and St. Vincent & the Grenadines. Young people are particularly overrepresented in international climate migration from the region. This could accelerate the trend towards aging populations across the Greater Caribbean and pose risks for older people left behind.
By 2050, young people (ages 20-39) will migrate at higher rates than those over 40 in all Greater Caribbean countries. The largest differences in out-migration rates between the young and older age groups are projected to occur in Guyana and St. Vincent & the Grenadines. Young people are particularly overrepresented in international climate migration from the region. This could accelerate the trend towards aging populations across the Greater Caribbean and pose risks for older people left behind.
By 2050, young people (ages 20-39) will migrate at higher rates than those over 40 in all Greater Caribbean countries. The largest differences in out-migration rates between the young and older age groups are projected to occur in Guyana and St. Vincent & the Grenadines. Young people are particularly overrepresented in international climate migration from the region. This could accelerate the trend towards aging populations across the Greater Caribbean and pose risks for older people left behind.
People whose age, health, cultural values or financial situation prevent them from leaving communities facing worsening climate hazards could fall further into poverty. For instance, severe climate impacts on agricultural production mean that poorer farmers with lower migration capacities, will likely face higher poverty rates as climate change wreaks havoc on their communities. By 2050, a third of those employed in the agriculture sector could be living in poverty, compared to the regional poverty rate of 6.2%. One in 10 people in rural communities will be relegated to extreme poverty (Middle Road scenario).
People whose age, health, cultural values or financial situation prevent them from leaving communities facing worsening climate hazards could fall further into poverty. For instance, severe climate impacts on agricultural production mean that poorer farmers with lower migration capacities, will likely face higher poverty rates as climate change wreaks havoc on their communities. By 2050, a third of those employed in the agriculture sector could be living in poverty, compared to the regional poverty rate of 6.2%. One in 10 people in rural communities will be relegated to extreme poverty (Middle Road scenario).
People whose age, health, cultural values or financial situation prevent them from leaving communities facing worsening climate hazards could fall further into poverty. For instance, severe climate impacts on agricultural production mean that poorer farmers with lower migration capacities, will likely face higher poverty rates as climate change wreaks havoc on their communities. By 2050, a third of those employed in the agriculture sector could be living in poverty, compared to the regional poverty rate of 6.2%. One in 10 people in rural communities will be relegated to extreme poverty (Middle Road scenario).
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